30 years: Capital markets & investment banking
Peter provides an overview of the basic methodology behind pricing options.
Peter provides an overview of the basic methodology behind pricing options.
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13 mins 20 secs
Options are financial instruments that give holders an option, but not an obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at an agreed price within the lifetime of the contract. The seller of an option is obliged to buy or sell if and when the buyer chooses to exercise it. Options are available on a wide range of assets, including stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, futures, market indices, and funds.
Key learning objectives:
Define the basics of options pricing
Describe the basics of the Black-Scholes Model
Define options
Outline the advantages options offer in trading and hedging
Define delta trading
Define historic volatility and implied volatility
Understand how volatility is used to derive an option price
Learn the limitations of pricing models
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Five factors determine the price of an option:
The key to the market-neutral Black-Scholes options pricing model is standard deviation. Standard deviation measures the dispersion of prices from the mean. Black-Scholes plots a standard deviation curve. For each instrument, it:
An option on an instrument with a tall hump and small standard deviation (e.g. a share trading at $11 with an expected price range of $10-$12; $11 average) would be cheap, especially if the strike price was greater than $12. The price is expected to be between $9 and $11 for 68% of the time i.e. one standard deviation, with a limited price tail, making for a limited options value.
Options on instruments with a flatter curve but large standard deviation with long tails and potential big pay-outs are expensive. This investment is more volatile so one standard deviation has a wider price tail. The price of the option on this instrument would be $1.10 compared to $0.62 for the other instrument.
Pricing models are only as good as the inputs. No matter what, future volatility is an unknown. Some specific criticisms of option pricing models are:
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